Prediction Markets and the Fog of War: Why the 56.5% Probability on Iran Is a Trader’s Trap
The numbers don’t lie — but they also don’t tell the whole story. A Polymarke...
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Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
92 million ARB released
Block reward halving event
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Team and early investor shares released
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